Experimental statistics


Overnight stays in hotels

Summary

Statistics Iceland publishes statistics on overnight stays in hotels on a monthly basis, approximately 30 days after the end of each month, at which point data has been received from about 90% of hotels. Due to users' interest in getting information in a more timely manner, it was decided to use data from hotels that consistently submit immediately after the end of each month to get an initial assessment of each month's final numbers for bed occupancy rates and overnight stays in hotels.

Recently, the Icelandic tourism industry has gone through major changes in a short time. Such rapid changes underscore the need for timely statistics, but also pose problems for statistical processing. These preliminary estimates need to be interpreted with that in mind.

Description

About 20% of hotels consistently submit data in the first few days after the end of each month. A study was carried out to see whether this data was useful for an initial assessment of bed occupancy rates and the number of overnight stays in hotels. Since these hotels are not randomly selected, the data are broken down by region and weighted to correct for this non-random selection.

For this subset of hotels with consistently early returns, data on bed occupancy rates and the number of overnight stays spanning the last few years were compared to the final results for each month. It turned out that bed occupancy and the number of overnight stays in hotels could be estimated every month with a 95% confidence limit.

Objectives

This method makes it possible to estimate the bed occupancy and the number of overnight stays in hotels shortly after the end of each month, and the plan is to publish this plan within 10 days from the end of the month. It is our hope that this publication of more timely initial estimates will help indicate the latest developments in accommodation.

79% reduction in overnight stays in hotels in June

Updated: 7 July 2020

Based on first reports on overnight stays at hotels in June, the initial estimate of overnight stays in hotels is 90,000 (95% CI: 79,000-101,000), compared with 420,300 overnight stays in hotels in June 2019. Consequently, there is an estimated 79% reduction in overnight stays from June 2019.

The concurrent estimate of bed occupancy rate in June 2020 was 17.7% (95% CI: 15.7%-19.8%) compared with 45.3% in June last year.


Metadata

Metadata for statistics on overnight stays: Accommodation, guests and overnight stays


Methodological description: Fast estimates of proportions and occupancy number of hotels (pdf)